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Connected Guides
  • Spot rates, forward rates and the yield curve
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  • Mean reversion: Ornstein–Uhlenbeck and Vasicek
  • Non-parallel curve moves and key-rate durations
  • Interest rate swaps
  • Credit risk: default probabilities and credit spreads

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QSRB Bond BookRATD <GO>

Rates desk

Sim D0/20 · 20 days leftSandbox <GO>
2Y zero
4.06% 0.0
5Y zero
4.32% 0.0
10Y zero
4.42% 0.0
30Y zero
4.47% 0.0
2s10s
+35.7 bp
2Y fut
103.420 0.000
5Y fut
106.773 0.000
10Y fut
109.678 0.000
Hedged P&L
$0

Hedge a government bond book with note futures while the curve moves day by day.

Mission

R1 · DV01-neutral fortnight

Keep the book's net DV01 inside ±$1,000 at every close for four weeks without overpaying in costs.

Day 0 of 20

  • Net DV01 within ±$1,000 at each close · at most 2 missesOn track0
  • Hedged P&L within ±$75,000 at the endOn track$0
  • Costs at most $12,000On track$0

Risk

Net DV01+$29,784out of band
−$5,0000+$5,000
Book DV01
+$29,784
Futures DV01
$0

Net key-rate DV01

  • 2y+$4,518
  • 5y+$6,562
  • 10y+$13,754
  • 30y+$4,956
Contracts traded
0
Costs
$0
DV01 misses
0

Events

  1. D0STARTBook opened: 4 bonds, 0 futures contracts

Zero curve

TodayD0

Yield moves since D0 (bp)

2y10y30y

P&L

HedgedBonds alone

Positions

InstrumentSizePriceValueDV012y5y10y30y
2Y bond$20,000,00099.898$19,979,596+$3,766+$3,766$0$0$0
7Y bond$15,000,00099.356$14,903,361+$8,841+$349+$5,328+$3,165$0
10Y bond$10,000,000100.823$10,082,273+$7,982+$247+$755+$6,980$0
25Y bond$6,000,000104.559$6,273,556+$9,196+$156+$478+$3,609+$4,956
NET$51,238,786+$29,784+$4,518+$6,562+$13,754+$4,956

Futures ticket

Price
109.678
DV01 per contract
$62
DV01 impact
−$619
Net DV01 after
+$29,165
Cost
$150

Cheapest to deliver · 10Y

BondPriceCFP/CFBasis
4.25% 6.6y CTD99.4340.9066109.6780.000
4.50% 7.5y100.8340.9112110.6600.895
4.75% 9.0y102.6790.9150112.2182.324
5.00% 9.8y104.7430.9273112.9553.039

The CTD changes after a +150 bp parallel move.

Curve scenarios

ScenarioBonds aloneHedged
+25 bp parallel−$734,464−$734,464
−25 bp parallel+$755,887+$755,887
Steepener−$41,137−$41,137
Flattener+$44,084+$44,084
Belly +20 bp−$130,663−$130,663

Instant P&L if the curve reshaped now.

Net DV01 +$29,784 · 0 DV01 misses · costs $0